MCD — McDonald's Corp. signal & RSI today

MCD's RSI is 32, below the oversold threshold of 35 — but the broader composite score is mixed.

Watch — oversold Market regime: Watch $182B · Large-cap
Current price
$254.01
extended-hours quote
RSI(14)
31.7
buy < 35.2 · sell > 67
Buy score
32/100
Watch
Sell score
20/100
Hold

30-day price action

52-week: $252.54 – $341.75 5-year: $217.68 – $341.75

Signal breakdown

Suggested buy entry$252.5452-week low floor, never deeper than -10% from current
Suggested sell target$341.7552w high
Risk ratingLowannualized volatility 17.8% · max 5y drawdown -25.8%

Why the buy score is what it is

  • +4.5 pts — RSI 31.7 below calibrated threshold 35.2
  • +14.8 pts — current 253.05 is 0.2% above 52w low 252.54
  • +5 pts — price in 15th percentile of its 5y range (low end)
  • +8 pts — mid-cap headroom (8.0 pts on smooth log-Gaussian)

Why the sell score is what it is

  • +10 pts — death-cross regime: 50dma 268.57 < 200dma 295.20, price below both
  • +10 pts — 8 SPY distribution days in last 20 sessions

What these signals mean

RSI(14) — Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator from 0–100. Classic interpretation: below 30 is oversold (potential bounce), above 70 is overbought (potential cool-off). We calibrate the thresholds per stock using its own 1-year RSI distribution (10th and 90th percentile, clamped). Currently 31.7, below the calibrated oversold threshold of 35.2.

Composite buy / sell score (0–100)

Combines RSI, earnings yield vs Treasury (ERP), P/E percentile vs 5-year range, golden/death cross, distribution days, macro regime flags, and market-cap headroom into a single 0–100 number. We surface a buy candidate at ≥50, strong buy at ≥70, sell at ≥70.

Suggested entry / sell target

Entry = the higher of the 52-week low and -10% from current (we don't ask you to wait for a crash). Sell target = the higher of 52-week high or a 3-year CAGR projection if the stock is in a confirmed uptrend, then capped if the implied market cap would exceed $10T.

Risk rating

Combines annualized volatility, beta vs S&P, and 5-year max drawdown. "Low" stocks have predictable behavior; "Very High" stocks can swing 50%+ in months. Use this to size positions, not as a verdict on whether to own.

For the exact math, see the Methodology page.

Signal history

No global signals logged for MCD yet. Signal capture goes live with each deployment; the public track record accrues from there. The system never backfills historical signals — what you see is what fired forward.

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Not financial advice. MCD signal interpretation generated automatically from public price + macro data. Signals are statistical, not predictive. See disclaimer for full terms. Data updated Fri, 11 Sep 2026 11:00:15 GMT.