XOM — ExxonMobil signal & RSI today
XOM is trading 16.7% off its 52-week high with RSI 43 — no decisive signal either way right now.
30-day price action
Signal breakdown
| Suggested buy entry | $132.31 | 52-week low floor, never deeper than -10% from current |
|---|---|---|
| Suggested sell target | $176.41 | 52w high |
| Risk rating | Low-Moderate | annualized volatility 26.9% · max 5y drawdown -20.5% |
Why the buy score is what it is
- +15 pts — price 147.01 below 50dma 151.91 but above rising 200dma 133.98
- +10 pts — 5.0y CAGR 18.7% (strong long-term growth)
- +5 pts — 50dma 151.91 > 200dma 133.98 (200dma rising over last 20 sessions)
- +6.7 pts — large-cap headroom (6.7 pts on smooth log-Gaussian)
Why the sell score is what it is
- +10 pts — price in 93th pctile of 5y range
- +10 pts — 5 SPY distribution days in last 20 sessions
What these signals mean
RSI(14) — Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator from 0–100. Classic interpretation: below 30 is oversold (potential bounce), above 70 is overbought (potential cool-off). We calibrate the thresholds per stock using its own 1-year RSI distribution (10th and 90th percentile, clamped). Currently 43.3, between calibrated thresholds (buy < 38.9, sell > 67.5).
Composite buy / sell score (0–100)
Combines RSI, earnings yield vs Treasury (ERP), P/E percentile vs 5-year range, golden/death cross, distribution days, macro regime flags, and market-cap headroom into a single 0–100 number. We surface a buy candidate at ≥50, strong buy at ≥70, sell at ≥70.
Suggested entry / sell target
Entry = the higher of the 52-week low and -10% from current (we don't ask you to wait for a crash). Sell target = the higher of 52-week high or a 3-year CAGR projection if the stock is in a confirmed uptrend, then capped if the implied market cap would exceed $10T.
Risk rating
Combines annualized volatility, beta vs S&P, and 5-year max drawdown. "Low" stocks have predictable behavior; "Very High" stocks can swing 50%+ in months. Use this to size positions, not as a verdict on whether to own.
For the exact math, see the Methodology page.
Signal history
Forward track record of every global signal fired for XOM since capture went live. Open, won, and lost are all shown — nothing is cherry-picked.
| Date | Type | Fire price | Target | Outcome | Return | Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 | BUY | $146.96 | $176.41 | ○ open | — | — |
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← back to the live dashboardNot financial advice. XOM signal interpretation generated automatically from public price + macro data. Signals are statistical, not predictive. See disclaimer for full terms. Data updated Sat, 13 Jun 2026 01:48:18 GMT.