MSFT — Microsoft Corp. signal & RSI today
MSFT is trading 11.1% off its 52-week high with RSI 55 — no decisive signal either way right now.
30-day price action
Signal breakdown
| Suggested buy entry | $443.20 | 52-week low floor, never deeper than -10% from current |
|---|---|---|
| Suggested sell target | $566.31 | 52w high |
| Risk rating | Moderate | annualized volatility 28.1% · max 5y drawdown -37.6% |
Why the buy score is what it is
- +2.6 pts — mega-cap headroom (2.6 pts on smooth log-Gaussian)
Why the sell score is what it is
- +10 pts — price in 91th pctile of 5y range
- +10 pts — 8 SPY distribution days in last 20 sessions
What these signals mean
RSI(14) — Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator from 0–100. Classic interpretation: below 30 is oversold (potential bounce), above 70 is overbought (potential cool-off). We calibrate the thresholds per stock using its own 1-year RSI distribution (10th and 90th percentile, clamped). Currently 55, between calibrated thresholds (buy < 36.6, sell > 70.2).
Composite buy / sell score (0–100)
Combines RSI, earnings yield vs Treasury (ERP), P/E percentile vs 5-year range, golden/death cross, distribution days, macro regime flags, and market-cap headroom into a single 0–100 number. We surface a buy candidate at ≥50, strong buy at ≥70, sell at ≥70.
Suggested entry / sell target
Entry = the higher of the 52-week low and -10% from current (we don't ask you to wait for a crash). Sell target = the higher of 52-week high or a 3-year CAGR projection if the stock is in a confirmed uptrend, then capped if the implied market cap would exceed $10T.
Risk rating
Combines annualized volatility, beta vs S&P, and 5-year max drawdown. "Low" stocks have predictable behavior; "Very High" stocks can swing 50%+ in months. Use this to size positions, not as a verdict on whether to own.
For the exact math, see the Methodology page.
Signal history
No global signals logged for MSFT yet. Signal capture goes live with each deployment; the public track record accrues from there. The system never backfills historical signals — what you see is what fired forward.
Related stocks
← back to the live dashboardNot financial advice. MSFT signal interpretation generated automatically from public price + macro data. Signals are statistical, not predictive. See disclaimer for full terms. Data updated Fri, 11 Sep 2026 10:29:47 GMT.