NVDA — NVIDIA Corp. signal & RSI today

NVDA is trading 13.3% off its 52-week high with RSI 45 — no decisive signal either way right now.

Hold Market regime: Watch $5.03T · Ultra-mega-cap
Current price
$205.42
extended-hours quote
RSI(14)
45.2
buy < 39.5 · sell > 72
Buy score
32/100
Watch
Sell score
20/100
Hold

30-day price action

52-week: $140.85 – $236.54 5-year: $10.81 – $236.54

Signal breakdown

Suggested buy entry$184.6752-week low floor, never deeper than -10% from current
Suggested sell target$236.5452w high
Risk ratingVery Highannualized volatility 51.4% · max 5y drawdown -66.4%

Why the buy score is what it is

  • +15 pts — price 205.19 below 50dma 206.91 but above rising 200dma 189.26
  • +10 pts — 5.0y CAGR 60.5% (strong long-term growth)
  • +5 pts — 50dma 206.91 > 200dma 189.26 (200dma rising over last 20 sessions)
  • +2 pts — mega-cap headroom (2.0 pts on smooth log-Gaussian)

Why the sell score is what it is

  • +10 pts — price in 98th pctile of 5y range
  • +10 pts — 5 SPY distribution days in last 20 sessions

What these signals mean

RSI(14) — Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator from 0–100. Classic interpretation: below 30 is oversold (potential bounce), above 70 is overbought (potential cool-off). We calibrate the thresholds per stock using its own 1-year RSI distribution (10th and 90th percentile, clamped). Currently 45.2, between calibrated thresholds (buy < 39.5, sell > 72).

Composite buy / sell score (0–100)

Combines RSI, earnings yield vs Treasury (ERP), P/E percentile vs 5-year range, golden/death cross, distribution days, macro regime flags, and market-cap headroom into a single 0–100 number. We surface a buy candidate at ≥50, strong buy at ≥70, sell at ≥70.

Suggested entry / sell target

Entry = the higher of the 52-week low and -10% from current (we don't ask you to wait for a crash). Sell target = the higher of 52-week high or a 3-year CAGR projection if the stock is in a confirmed uptrend, then capped if the implied market cap would exceed $10T.

Risk rating

Combines annualized volatility, beta vs S&P, and 5-year max drawdown. "Low" stocks have predictable behavior; "Very High" stocks can swing 50%+ in months. Use this to size positions, not as a verdict on whether to own.

For the exact math, see the Methodology page.

Signal history

No global signals logged for NVDA yet. Signal capture goes live with each deployment; the public track record accrues from there. The system never backfills historical signals — what you see is what fired forward.

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Not financial advice. NVDA signal interpretation generated automatically from public price + macro data. Signals are statistical, not predictive. See disclaimer for full terms. Data updated Sat, 13 Jun 2026 01:44:46 GMT.